RELIEVERS: xERA, pxERA and actual ERA
Apr 29 2014
This week, the column looks at some early returns for closers in terms of expected ERA (xERA), projected xERA (pxERA) vis-a-vis actual ERA to date. ERA this early in the year tends to have some errant behavior and as the year progresses, the ERA and xERA tend towards each other—and often towards the projection (pxERA). Therefore, it is good to know where a pitcher stands in all three to see where one should sell and where one should buy. Here is a chart with five current closers:
IP Sv ERA xERA pxERA
============== === == ===== ===== =====
Broxton (CIN) 5.0 4 0.00 4.16 3.83
Lindstrom (CHW) 10.0 3 2.70 5.40 3.88
Balfour (TAM) 9.7 4 1.86 4.30 3.49
Axford (CLE) 9.7 8 2.79 5.08 ...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Relief Pitchers
Injuries and ineffectiveness keep the waiver wire moving. Four pens with changes and a look at who else might change soon.
May 10 2026 3:07am
May 10 2026 3:07am
This column took the best K-BB% relievers and filtered for xERA and HR/F as well to create a list of who performed in April.
May 3 2026 3:06am
May 3 2026 3:06am
This column covers a number of current, fluid pen situations.
Apr 26 2026 3:06am
Apr 26 2026 3:06am
This column filters by first two weeks K%-BB% and then looks at the projections to make an early call on whether the elite start is real or not real.
Apr 19 2026 3:07am
Apr 19 2026 3:07am
Using projections for skills and early-season usage patterns, we look at five more bullpens.
Apr 12 2026 3:05am
Apr 12 2026 3:05am
