Research

What if we're wrong, and the marketplace is right, about our All-Value and All-Avoid teams?
May 3 2012 11:03pm
"Which pitcher do I start?" are probably the most commonly asked words during the fantasy baseball season—whether wondered silently to oneself, asked to a friend, or posted on a message board. In the never ending chase for the elusive win, we all struggle with the decision of who to start and who to bench. Fortunately, we've got an app for that.
May 2 2012 11:03pm
What if we're wrong, and the marketplace is right, about our All-Value and All-Avoid teams?
Apr 26 2012 11:03pm
Batters with very large sample sizes show the variation inherent in what we think of as "normal" production.
Apr 25 2012 11:03pm
Each year some players have hot starts, and during the first few weeks of free agent bidding/waiver pickups we have to make decisions about how aggressively to chase these players. At Baseball HQ we consistently counsel owners to have patience and not make decisions on small sample sizes. This article focuses on potential free agents who had a "hot start" in one of the 5x5 offensive categories during the 2009-2011 seasons, and examines the results of investments in those free agents.
Apr 18 2012 11:03pm
Is there more skill to preventing walks than simply throwing strikes?
Apr 16 2012 11:03pm
Continuing our exercise from last week, let's finish up our predictions of 2012's top performers and award winners. This week we'll cover the MVP candidates, and the pitching leaders.
Apr 9 2012 11:04pm
Earlier this year we reviewed historical performance (in the form of RC/G and xERA) across each division and created a strength of schedule metric at the division level (i.e. an average for all teams in a division). In this article, we tackle two refinements to that approach—one improvement is the inclusion of projections (from BaseballHQ.com) to make it a forward-looking indicator. The other is the calculation of the metric at the team level to enable more detailed analysis and better insights.
Apr 5 2012 11:01pm
As we do every year, we close out the pre-season calendar with a look at some possible long-shot league leaders and award winners. As always, our philosophy for this exercise is that anyone can predict an Albert Pujols MVP award or a Felix Hernandez Cy Young campaign. We're not interested in that level of prognostication; we're going to stick our necks out a good bit further.
Mar 30 2012 11:03pm
As part of an ongoing series, we continue to explore how behavioral economic principles may assist in the management of your fantasy baseball roster. The week, we discuss how attachment and endowment effects may impact roster decisions.
Mar 29 2012 11:01pm
One of the pleasant surprises of the 2011 was Jeff Francoeur who earned a career high roto value of $27, which was driven by 20 HR and a career high 22 SB. While the 20 HR weren't completely out of line for him (he had hit 29 HR in 2006), the SB seemingly came out of nowhere, after posting a previous high of just eight SB in 2011. Even in hindsight, there's no way we could have seen this outburst coming. Right?
Mar 29 2012 3:02am
What if we're wrong, and the marketplace is right, about our All-Value and All-Avoid teams?
May 3 2012 11:03pm
"Which pitcher do I start?" are probably the most commonly asked words during the fantasy baseball season—whether wondered silently to oneself, asked to a friend, or posted on a message board. In the never ending chase for the elusive win, we all struggle with the decision of who to start and who to bench. Fortunately, we've got an app for that.
May 2 2012 11:03pm
What if we're wrong, and the marketplace is right, about our All-Value and All-Avoid teams?
Apr 26 2012 11:03pm
Batters with very large sample sizes show the variation inherent in what we think of as "normal" production.
Apr 25 2012 11:03pm
Each year some players have hot starts, and during the first few weeks of free agent bidding/waiver pickups we have to make decisions about how aggressively to chase these players. At Baseball HQ we consistently counsel owners to have patience and not make decisions on small sample sizes. This article focuses on potential free agents who had a "hot start" in one of the 5x5 offensive categories during the 2009-2011 seasons, and examines the results of investments in those free agents.
Apr 18 2012 11:03pm
Is there more skill to preventing walks than simply throwing strikes?
Apr 16 2012 11:03pm
Continuing our exercise from last week, let's finish up our predictions of 2012's top performers and award winners. This week we'll cover the MVP candidates, and the pitching leaders.
Apr 9 2012 11:04pm
Earlier this year we reviewed historical performance (in the form of RC/G and xERA) across each division and created a strength of schedule metric at the division level (i.e. an average for all teams in a division). In this article, we tackle two refinements to that approach—one improvement is the inclusion of projections (from BaseballHQ.com) to make it a forward-looking indicator. The other is the calculation of the metric at the team level to enable more detailed analysis and better insights.
Apr 5 2012 11:01pm
As we do every year, we close out the pre-season calendar with a look at some possible long-shot league leaders and award winners. As always, our philosophy for this exercise is that anyone can predict an Albert Pujols MVP award or a Felix Hernandez Cy Young campaign. We're not interested in that level of prognostication; we're going to stick our necks out a good bit further.
Mar 30 2012 11:03pm
As part of an ongoing series, we continue to explore how behavioral economic principles may assist in the management of your fantasy baseball roster. The week, we discuss how attachment and endowment effects may impact roster decisions.
Mar 29 2012 11:01pm
One of the pleasant surprises of the 2011 was Jeff Francoeur who earned a career high roto value of $27, which was driven by 20 HR and a career high 22 SB. While the 20 HR weren't completely out of line for him (he had hit 29 HR in 2006), the SB seemingly came out of nowhere, after posting a previous high of just eight SB in 2011. Even in hindsight, there's no way we could have seen this outburst coming. Right?
Mar 29 2012 3:02am

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