SPECULATOR: Trade deadline, part 1: the market for pitching

Every July in this space, we spend the weeks leading up to the MLB trade deadline speculating about what may transpire on July 31. Some years we have been right on the money with our reading of the market, in others we have been dreadfully off base. Above all, we think there's value (in an entertainment sense, as well as to our fantasy teams) in the thought exercise of "playing along" with the MLB GMs. After all, part of the reason we play our games is as a proxy for acting as a GM of our favorite team.

Let's kick off this year's coverage with a review of how the landscape has changed from prior years, and then, with the context properly set, we will assess the market for starting pitching.

Effects of the new CBA

MLB's new...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

An early look at who is changing their pitch mix the most... and whether or not it's working.
May 6 2026 3:06am
With skills so bad, we can only speculate on an underlying injury. We hope we're wrong!
Apr 29 2026 3:05am
Our annual "draft skills, not roles" using projected skills and year-to-date playing time.
Apr 22 2026 3:05am
With most pitchers 3-4 starts in, we dive into the sub-indicators to see who's rising and falling.
Apr 15 2026 3:06am
Using our Quality of Batted Ball (QBaB) metric to make some speculative hitter snap judgments.
Apr 8 2026 3:06am

Tools