Research
One of our favorite annual pre-season exercises is to take our player projections and see what they can tell us about our expectations at a team level. By looking at the races on a division-by-division basis, we may find some teams (and players) that are not being properly valued in the preseason analysis.
Mar 21 2012 12:03am
Mar 21 2012 12:03am
Teams that win fantasy titles often have players on their rosters that deliver more value than either their draft round or their auction price would predict. Often these are players who have breakouts in one or more scoring categories that weren't anticipated. Three players who exceeded expectations in SBs last year were Emilio Bonafacio (SS, MIA), Jason Bourgeois (OF, HOU), and Ben Revere (OF, MIN). We can target players in drafts who have a possibility of returning significant profit in the SB category by developing a profile of players who have had a SB breakout in the past.
Mar 16 2012 12:02am
Mar 16 2012 12:02am
Platoon splits are a key part of the in-game management—but do they have any fanalytic value?
Mar 1 2012 12:00am
Mar 1 2012 12:00am
We continue our review of some pressing early spring questions, this week covering the National League.
Feb 29 2012 9:06am
Feb 29 2012 9:06am
Sergio Romo knows how to get Ks and weak contact. It's a powerful combination.
Feb 23 2012 12:01am
Feb 23 2012 12:01am
In our 2012 debut, we speculate on eight interesting spring questions from around the American League.
Feb 19 2012 12:00am
Feb 19 2012 12:00am
Many fantasy owners target elite performers in scarce statistics like SBs. If you can draft one or two top base stealers, you can focus on the other categories as you draft your remaining hitters. In 2011, eight of the top ten base stealers in the AL had appeared in the top ten at least one time before, and six of the top ten in the NL had a previous top ten performance. Can we increase our chances of drafting one of these elite stolen base performers ?
Feb 16 2012 11:30am
Feb 16 2012 11:30am
With the introduction of the unbalanced schedule just over a decade ago, Major League Baseball introduced a system where teams face divisional rivals for a greater number of games than teams outside the division. From a fantasy perspective, one has to wonder what impact this macro-level divisional factor might have on player performance over the course of a season and how it could be leveraged to positively effect draft strategy.
Feb 9 2012 12:01am
Feb 9 2012 12:01am
If you use Standings Gain Points to value players, you'll know that the denominators are the key to the whole thing. Here are estimates of the denominators, culled from league standings for the past three years.
Feb 8 2012 12:00am
Feb 8 2012 12:00am
As spring nears and baseball (rightfully) regains the attention of the fantasy landscape, many a new strategy article will bloom across the Internet with some version of the popular adage "You can't win your draft in the first round, but you can lose it." It seems a reasonable proposition, but is it accurate?
Feb 1 2012 12:00am
Feb 1 2012 12:00am
What affect does an extreme H%, and its subsequent regression, have on scoring stats? Our first hypothesis is that a H% greater than 34% might result in a higher Dom rate. Pitchers with an inflated H% face more batters than they "normally" would, since batters are reaching base that otherwise might be retired. Therefore, pitchers have more opportunities to strike out hitters, leading to an inflated Dom -- which would return to a lower level upon H% regression.
Jan 20 2012 12:00am
Jan 20 2012 12:00am
One of our favorite annual pre-season exercises is to take our player projections and see what they can tell us about our expectations at a team level. By looking at the races on a division-by-division basis, we may find some teams (and players) that are not being properly valued in the preseason analysis.
Mar 21 2012 12:03am
Mar 21 2012 12:03am
Teams that win fantasy titles often have players on their rosters that deliver more value than either their draft round or their auction price would predict. Often these are players who have breakouts in one or more scoring categories that weren't anticipated. Three players who exceeded expectations in SBs last year were Emilio Bonafacio (SS, MIA), Jason Bourgeois (OF, HOU), and Ben Revere (OF, MIN). We can target players in drafts who have a possibility of returning significant profit in the SB category by developing a profile of players who have had a SB breakout in the past.
Mar 16 2012 12:02am
Mar 16 2012 12:02am
Platoon splits are a key part of the in-game management—but do they have any fanalytic value?
Mar 1 2012 12:00am
Mar 1 2012 12:00am
We continue our review of some pressing early spring questions, this week covering the National League.
Feb 29 2012 9:06am
Feb 29 2012 9:06am
Sergio Romo knows how to get Ks and weak contact. It's a powerful combination.
Feb 23 2012 12:01am
Feb 23 2012 12:01am
In our 2012 debut, we speculate on eight interesting spring questions from around the American League.
Feb 19 2012 12:00am
Feb 19 2012 12:00am
Many fantasy owners target elite performers in scarce statistics like SBs. If you can draft one or two top base stealers, you can focus on the other categories as you draft your remaining hitters. In 2011, eight of the top ten base stealers in the AL had appeared in the top ten at least one time before, and six of the top ten in the NL had a previous top ten performance. Can we increase our chances of drafting one of these elite stolen base performers ?
Feb 16 2012 11:30am
Feb 16 2012 11:30am
With the introduction of the unbalanced schedule just over a decade ago, Major League Baseball introduced a system where teams face divisional rivals for a greater number of games than teams outside the division. From a fantasy perspective, one has to wonder what impact this macro-level divisional factor might have on player performance over the course of a season and how it could be leveraged to positively effect draft strategy.
Feb 9 2012 12:01am
Feb 9 2012 12:01am
If you use Standings Gain Points to value players, you'll know that the denominators are the key to the whole thing. Here are estimates of the denominators, culled from league standings for the past three years.
Feb 8 2012 12:00am
Feb 8 2012 12:00am
As spring nears and baseball (rightfully) regains the attention of the fantasy landscape, many a new strategy article will bloom across the Internet with some version of the popular adage "You can't win your draft in the first round, but you can lose it." It seems a reasonable proposition, but is it accurate?
Feb 1 2012 12:00am
Feb 1 2012 12:00am
What affect does an extreme H%, and its subsequent regression, have on scoring stats? Our first hypothesis is that a H% greater than 34% might result in a higher Dom rate. Pitchers with an inflated H% face more batters than they "normally" would, since batters are reaching base that otherwise might be retired. Therefore, pitchers have more opportunities to strike out hitters, leading to an inflated Dom -- which would return to a lower level upon H% regression.
Jan 20 2012 12:00am
Jan 20 2012 12:00am
