RESEARCH: Pitcher variability

We are right at the one-third mark of the 2012 season, and many fantasy owners, like their counterparts in MLB front offices, are looking for help in their rotations.

But how much help, especially in ERA and WHIP, can you reasonably expect? Having a handle on that could really help make better trade and FAAB decisions.

To explore the question, we adapted a method recently used in an article on variation in batter performance. We looked at the career track of an established “quality” pitcher, looking at his career performance on a game-by-game basis, while simultaneously looking at the variation in that performance over the shorter 24-start period we could expect from a frontline starter from this point in the season to its...

Almost!

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