Ron Shandler

As much as this fantasy game is elegantly constructed, there are still elements of it that are agonizingly flawed.
Feb 3 2012 12:00am
We're giving you one more chance to get a free subscription to BaseballHQ.com...
Jan 28 2012 10:24am
It seems that Shandler is having an odd obsession with Draft & Hold leagues. I have been so involved in advanced fanalytic analysis for so long that people are surprised that I would be writing about a league format that is seemingly ... well, stupid. Draft a team and then watch it for six months? Where is the fun in that?
Jan 27 2012 12:00am
The Rotisserie 500 game was introduced last year and taken out for a test run in two high-level leagues, in New York and Toronto. During the course of 2011, several of us wrote about the experience extensively, we surveyed the participants and analyzed the final results. In the end, we decided that Roto500 was a promising new format but needed a few tweaks.
Jan 26 2012 12:00am
Back in March, I gave our writers the task of coming up with some out-on-a-limb projections for 2011. We run into trouble every year when we ground our future expectations in past realities, so it is an important exercise to create some possibilities that we would never have considered. Let's look back on the 20 bold projections we floated out on March 18. Remember - these were all pretty far-fetched back then.
Oct 14 2011 1:28pm
The underlying concept of XRD is that year-to-year player performance does not inherently follow a smooth trend. Rather, surges are followed by declines, and declines by surges, even as overall growth may still occur. What this means for us is that we need to significantly downgrade players coming off of peak or career years, and carefully target those who are coming off of down years. In fact, we might want to build our entire draft strategy around that. So did it work?
Oct 7 2011 1:08pm
Looking back at the Tout Wars saga and a surprise appearance in the Moneyball movie.
Sep 30 2011 1:04pm
We cannot predict the future; all we can do is provide a sound process for constructing a "most likely expectation for future performance." All we can control is the process. As such, if we've captured as much information as is available, used the best methodology and analyzed the results correctly, that's about the best we can do. We simply can't control outcomes. What we can do is analyze all the misses to see why they occurred.
Sep 23 2011 12:58pm
2011 updates to the Mayberry Plan
Feb 11 2011 12:00am
Feb 11 2011 12:00am
2010 introduction to the Mayberry Method (Part 4 of 4)
Feb 5 2010 12:00am
2010 introduction to the Mayberry Method (Part 3 of 4)
Jan 29 2010 12:00am
As much as this fantasy game is elegantly constructed, there are still elements of it that are agonizingly flawed.
Feb 3 2012 12:00am
We're giving you one more chance to get a free subscription to BaseballHQ.com...
Jan 28 2012 10:24am
It seems that Shandler is having an odd obsession with Draft & Hold leagues. I have been so involved in advanced fanalytic analysis for so long that people are surprised that I would be writing about a league format that is seemingly ... well, stupid. Draft a team and then watch it for six months? Where is the fun in that?
Jan 27 2012 12:00am
The Rotisserie 500 game was introduced last year and taken out for a test run in two high-level leagues, in New York and Toronto. During the course of 2011, several of us wrote about the experience extensively, we surveyed the participants and analyzed the final results. In the end, we decided that Roto500 was a promising new format but needed a few tweaks.
Jan 26 2012 12:00am
Back in March, I gave our writers the task of coming up with some out-on-a-limb projections for 2011. We run into trouble every year when we ground our future expectations in past realities, so it is an important exercise to create some possibilities that we would never have considered. Let's look back on the 20 bold projections we floated out on March 18. Remember - these were all pretty far-fetched back then.
Oct 14 2011 1:28pm
The underlying concept of XRD is that year-to-year player performance does not inherently follow a smooth trend. Rather, surges are followed by declines, and declines by surges, even as overall growth may still occur. What this means for us is that we need to significantly downgrade players coming off of peak or career years, and carefully target those who are coming off of down years. In fact, we might want to build our entire draft strategy around that. So did it work?
Oct 7 2011 1:08pm
Looking back at the Tout Wars saga and a surprise appearance in the Moneyball movie.
Sep 30 2011 1:04pm
We cannot predict the future; all we can do is provide a sound process for constructing a "most likely expectation for future performance." All we can control is the process. As such, if we've captured as much information as is available, used the best methodology and analyzed the results correctly, that's about the best we can do. We simply can't control outcomes. What we can do is analyze all the misses to see why they occurred.
Sep 23 2011 12:58pm
2011 updates to the Mayberry Plan
Feb 11 2011 12:00am
Feb 11 2011 12:00am
2010 introduction to the Mayberry Method (Part 4 of 4)
Feb 5 2010 12:00am
2010 introduction to the Mayberry Method (Part 3 of 4)
Jan 29 2010 12:00am

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