Mayberry 2011

A Reader's Digest recap... Despite all the advanced forecasting models out there, we do a pretty crappy job of projecting player stats. Rather than continuing to bang our heads against walls in quest of a level of precision we can never achieve, the Mayberry Method is designed to simplify our efforts. Mayberry embraces imprecision and invites the wide error bars into the planning process.

Mayberry constructs a 7-character rating for each player based on overall skill level. The last three characters in the MM rating are the player's Reliability Score. The first four characters, for batters, measure:

Power

PX            MM   Rough HR Approx
=========     ==   ===============
0 - 49        0    0
50 - 79       1    up to 10
80 - 99...

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