Big risky gambles
Mar 8 2026
This week, the column looks at where closers and relievers are going in ADP over the past few weeks in the NFBC as a gauge of how owners are valuing these players and then comparing these valuations against the projected skill sets of these relievers to find those where the skills do not measure up to the valuation. The column will also point out injury risk versus ADP in some instances. The goal is to steer away from these riskier closers/relievers in favor of other closers/relievers at similar values.
Let's start with the first 100 ADP--roughly 6-7 rounds into a 15-team mixed draft. There are three closers in this group. Here are their projections:
ADP 1-100 | SV | HD | IP | xERA | WHIP | K% | K-BB% | HR/F | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helsley, Ryan BAL | 32 | 0 | 58 | 3.68 | 1.28 | 27% | 17% | 10% | 71 |
| Hader, Josh... |
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Relief Pitchers
This is the annual sleepers column, but let's be honest: There are no sleepers. There are relievers with great skills who are cheaper than they should be ... and that's what you want anyway.
Mar 1 2026 3:03am
Mar 1 2026 3:03am
Here are your high skills relievers projected to come at a discount and earn a profit, per LIMA grades.
Feb 22 2026 3:04am
Feb 22 2026 3:04am
These five pens are going to figure out roles during Spring Training. Kevin Ginkel appears to be the favorite in Arizona, but let's look at the known options from a skills perspective.
Feb 15 2026 3:07am
Feb 6 2026 3:04am
The initial set of BaseballHQ projections is on the board, and we initially wade through it for three things: LIMA A or B+, at least a 20% K-BB%, and at least one save. Here is that list.
FREE
Jan 16 2026 3:02am
FREE
Jan 16 2026 3:02am
