Verlander risk outweighs reward ... Justin Verlander (RHP, HOU) predictably fell short of his phenomenal 2022 season, but still delivered 13 wins and solid ratios through a season split between New York and Houston. At age 41, and years removed from being a 200-inning horse, what should fantasy managers expect in the coming year?
Year | IP | ERA/xERA | BB%/K% | xBB% | SwK | Vel | G/L/F | H%/S% | HR/F | xHR/F | BPV |
2020 | 6 | 3.00/2.73 | 5%/33% | 7% | 12.3 | 94.9 | 62/ 0/38 | 9/100 | 40% | 31% | 189 |
2021 | did not pitch; Tommy John surgery | ||||||||||
2022 | 175 | 1.75/3.26 | 4%/28% | 5% | 12.1 | 95.1 | 38/19/44 | 25/83 | 6% | 9% | 147 |
2023 | 162 | 3.22/4.55 | 7%/22% | 6% | 10.4 | 94.4 | 36/20/45 | 28/76 | 8% | 10% | 90 |
Verlander's skills highlight across-the-board erosion that translates to performance risk that exceeds any upside:
Almost!
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