Skenes, Suzuki, O'Brien, France, Marsee
Jul 29 2026
Skenes sees ERA rise … Paul Skenes (RHP, PIT) entered 2026 having posted a sub-2.00 ERA in each of his first two seasons (1.96 and 1.97, respectively), so it’s a bit jarring to see him with a 3.65 ERA through 121 IP. What is going on here?
| Year | IP | ERA/xERA | BB% | K% | K-BB% | Ball% | SwK | Vel | GB/LD/FB | H%/S% | HR/F |
| 2024 | 133 | 1.96/2.58 | 6% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 14.0% | 98.9 | 50/17/30 | 30%/83% | 10% |
| 2025 | 187 | 1.97/3.10 | 5% | 29% | 24% | 34% | 14.2% | 98.1 | 44/18/37 | 28%/82% | 6% |
| 2026 | 121 | 3.65/3.19 | 5% | 30% | 25% | 35% | 14.0% | 96.9 | 39/19/40 | 32%/67% | 8% |
The skills aren’t that different from 2025, but negative S% regression has wreaked havoc:
- He continues to miss lots of bats, per SwK% and a 94th percentile K%.
- He has again done a terrific job limiting free passes, with an 89th percentile BB%. Ball% suggests there could be a little...
Almost!
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