NL East: Nationals treasure

Washington Nationals

Nearly one tenth of the season has unfolded, and the Nats’ rotation has held up fairly well. Their starters’ combined SIERA (3.93, 15^th) and K-BB% (13.3%, 15^th)—two skills-based metrics—have them firmly in the middle of the MLB pack. By one measure, E-F, which calculates the difference between FIP and ERA and can potentially uncover latent “luck” noise, the WAS rotation is 9^th in baseball with a 0.43 mark (4.26 ERA – 3.83 FIP), suggesting that results could have been even better.

MacKenzie Gore may finally be blossoming into the ace that 2025 Baseball Forecaster was portending when it pinned an “UP: 3.50 ERA, 200 K” on him. Through three starts, the 26-year-old lefty has 25 K and only 3 BB in 17 IP,...

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