Very early sub-indicator surgers, 2026

It's still risky to put significant stock into early-season skills, especially aggregate measures like strikeouts and walks. But looking into the components that drive them can be a helpful early-season exercise, since they represent larger sample sizes.

These three batting sub-indicators are key underlying drivers of a hitter's surface stats:

Chase Rate (Chase %)
Swinging Strike Rate (SwK%)
Average Exit Velocity (EV):

These hitters have shown the biggest increase in average exit velocity so far in 2026 (min 30 PA each season):

 20252026Δ
NameLgSwK%Chase %EV SwK%Chase %EV SwK%Chase %EV 
Ezequiel DuranAL11.8%37.4%85.3 13.1%33.6%92.1 1.4%-3.8%6.8 
Jac CaglianoneAL12.9%38.5%89.4 13.8%32.5%95.1 0.9%-6.0%5.7 
Nick KurtzAL14.2%22.2%92.7 

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

Noelvi Marte has rebounded nicely at Triple-A after an ugly early start with the Reds.
May 11 2026 3:06am
This week's column focuses on hitters receiving a boost in fantasy value by rising in their respective lineups.
May 8 2026 3:07am
Brice Turang's five-category output in April was backed by good batted ball quality and elite plate discipline drivers.
May 4 2026 3:15am
Chandler Simpson's hitting leadoff versus RHP, more Atlanta movement, and Rice getting run against LHP.
Apr 24 2026 3:05am
Nick Castellanos isn't showing any underlying signs that he can rebound from his slow start to the season.
Apr 20 2026 3:05am

Tools