BATTING: XRD2: Underperformers

In last week’s BBG, we started our look at batters who might be targets for 2013 drafts using Ron Shandler’s Extreme Regression Drafting (XRD) method.

In a nutshell, XRD finds players whose performance varied significantly from one year to the next, assuming that such big value swings would influence perceived value—and, so, auction prices or draft round positions—in the subsequent year.

The last BBG looked at batters who gained value in 2012 relative to 2011, and who might therefore be overpriced in 2013 by owners thinking 2012 represents a new value baseline for those batters. We looked at how likely they might be to regress back to that 2011 level, and therefore be poor investments for 2013.

This week, we take the opposite...

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