BATTING: XRD2: Underperformers

In last week’s BBG, we started our look at batters who might be targets for 2013 drafts using Ron Shandler’s Extreme Regression Drafting (XRD) method.

In a nutshell, XRD finds players whose performance varied significantly from one year to the next, assuming that such big value swings would influence perceived value—and, so, auction prices or draft round positions—in the subsequent year.

The last BBG looked at batters who gained value in 2012 relative to 2011, and who might therefore be overpriced in 2013 by owners thinking 2012 represents a new value baseline for those batters. We looked at how likely they might be to regress back to that 2011 level, and therefore be poor investments for 2013.

This week, we take the opposite...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

JJ Bleday's combination of surging batted ball quality and plate discipline gives him the tools to become an impact bat.
May 25 2026 3:10am
This week's installment of Lineups Outlook highlights three batters benefiting from new batting order spots; plus, hoping for more for two rookies.
May 22 2026 3:07am
Jarred Kelenic's marginal post-promotion production is hiding elite batted ball quality.
May 18 2026 3:07am
Noelvi Marte has rebounded nicely at Triple-A after an ugly early start with the Reds.
May 11 2026 3:06am
This week's column focuses on hitters receiving a boost in fantasy value by rising in their respective lineups.
May 8 2026 3:07am

Tools