BATTING: Unlucky Liners
Jul 23 2012
By now, we’re all pretty comfortable with the idea that luck—good or bad—plays a role in batter performance. In particular, we’ve learned that batters tend to establish a hit rate (h%) and regress to it.
Our h% research has looked only at h% variance as it affects full seasons, and has identified only regressions that occur the full season after an outlier season.
Nonetheless, it stands to reason that batters experiencing unusual bad luck through a half-season might well enjoy better results in the half-season to come.
With that in mind, we looked at batters this season who have been unusually unlucky, and focused in particular on batters with low h% on line drives (LD).
We chose this approach because LD have by far the...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Batters
Joc Pederson's poor early stats are hiding some excellent batting building blocks.
May 19 2025 3:05am
May 19 2025 3:05am
May has provided fantasy players with new lead-off hitters for The Athletics, the Yankees, and the Orioles.
May 16 2025 3:09am
A healthy Endy Rodriguez has a combination of good exit velocity and low chase that could help him tap into his former prospect pedigree.
May 12 2025 3:07am
May 12 2025 3:07am
Jorge Polanco's excellent stats in April came with good underlying support.
May 5 2025 3:07am
May 5 2025 3:07am
This week's column focuses on the fantasy impact of Jeremy Peña potentially taking over at lead-off and Marcus Semien no longer hitting first.
May 2 2025 3:06am
May 2 2025 3:06am
