BATTING: RBI over- and underperformers
Jun 25 2012
A few years ago BaseballHQ.com identified a formula for calculating Projected RBI (pRBI), a rough measure of how many RBI a batter should have given his own performance, his position in the batting order, and his team’s ability to get on base.
At that time, and in subsequent republications in the Baseball Forecaster annual, we suggested that these pRBI formulas should be applied after 70 team games or so to find batters whose actual RBI were +/- 9 from their pRBI, because a correction might be coming.
Method
To check the RBI-pRBI variances, we checked every MLB Batter with more than 100 AB through June 24.
We used baseball-reference.com’s batting-order summaries to slot each batter into one of the three batting-order...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Batters
Ben Rice's excellent batted ball quality and resulting second half surge support his chances at becoming an impact bat in 2026.
Sep 22 2025 3:05am
Sep 22 2025 3:05am
Looking ahead to 2026, Jo Adell could hit 4th, while Ronald Acuña Jr. may bat 3rd.
Sep 5 2025 3:06am
Sep 5 2025 3:06am
Giancarlo Stanton turned back the clock with a huge showing in August.
Sep 1 2025 3:09am
Sep 1 2025 3:09am
Brenton Doyle's recent surge and elite results and skills vs. LHers confirm that he has not reached his ceiling yet.
Aug 25 2025 3:07am
Aug 25 2025 3:07am
Following the trade deadline, Arizona has returned Geraldo Perdomo to the top of the lineup. Plus, notes on Noelvi Marte and Brett Baty deserving better spots in the batting order.
Aug 22 2025 3:10am
Aug 22 2025 3:10am
