BATTERS: Swinging strike rates

Swinging strike rate (SwK%) has been a crucial component of our pitching toolbox for the last 10 years due to its ability to predict a pitcher's strikeout rate.

It seems intuitive that SwK% also would have a strong correlation with a batter's contact rate. After all, as a pitcher's strikeout rate increases, a batter's contact rate will head in the opposite direction.

The link between contact rate and batting average continues to be strong. Among hitters with seasons of 100+ plate appearances since 2018, batting average steadily increases as their contact rate increases:

The primary driver of a batter's contact rate is their SwK%. There is a pretty strong negative correlation between the two (r = -0.70), meaning as SwK% increases, ct% (and...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

Nick Kurtz's historical game earlier this week reinforced his significant second-half gains.
Jul 28 2025 3:10am
Drake Baldwin and Nick Kurtz are not only producing as rookies, they are moving into prime spots in the batting order.
Jul 25 2025 3:06am
José Fermín is one of several intriguing targets in deep leagues heading into the second half.
Jul 21 2025 3:05am
Oneil Cruz has changed his plate approach, while Brice Turang has changed his swing.
FREE
Jul 15 2025 3:07am
Brent Rooker has posted elite five-category production over the last 12 months.
Jul 14 2025 3:07am

Tools