BATTERS: Big seasons in 2011

Last month, the Batting Buyers Guide examined hitters who had very poor seasons in 2011, looking at which of them might be most likely to “regress to the mean” of their weighted average performance from 2008-10.

This exercise lets us apply Ron Shandler’s “Extreme Regression Drafting” team-construction approach, which says to find players who significantly over- or underperformed their historical norms in Year X, and expect them to regress to those norms in Year X+1. So we grab underperformers who look set to regress upwards, and avoid overperformers set to regress downwards.

As with last time, we started by finding the batters whose 2011 seasons varied sharply from their norms, this time by doing far better than their norms...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

Pete Crow-Armstrong's marginal batted ball quality, shaky plate skills, and extreme level of chase make him a risky bet to maintain his 2025 value.
Mar 9 2026 3:05am
Ben Rice's massive gains in exit velocity and against southpaws in 2025 make him a premium breakout target.
Mar 2 2026 3:05am
Anthony Volpe's reduction in chase and gains in batted ball quality give him premium LIMA batter appeal in 2026 drafts given his modest market price.
Feb 23 2026 3:05am
Colt Keith's improved batted ball quality late in 2025 gives him intriguing appeal as a player to watch this spring.
Feb 16 2026 3:05am
Wyatt Langford's premium September skills position him to take a big leap in 2026 if he can stay healthy.
Jan 23 2026 3:05am

Tools