STARTERS: Pitch movement, pt. 2

We last looked at pitch movement in this off-season column. A recap of our findings:

  • Pitch movement by itself is not strongly correlated with indicators like Dom (k/9) or Ctl (bb/9) rate.
  • Fastball vertical movement has the strongest positive correlation with Dom, and it's far from strong (r=0.33).
  • One would think that vertical movement of sliders would have a positive correlation with Dom, but there is no correlation between the two (r=0.02).
  • SP whose pitch movement increased from 2011 to 2012 posted an average 6.8 Dom that season. Their average Dom in 2011 was also 6.8.
  • SP with increased pitch movement from 2011 to 2012 maintained the same Ctl (2.7) as they had in 2011.
  • Those whose pitch movement decreased in 2012...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

The huge spring of young Didier Fuentes has him on the cusp of the ATL rotation.
Mar 28 2026 3:09am
Cam Schlittler has built upon his late-season emergence with an excellent showing this spring.
Mar 20 2026 3:12am
The tweaked pitch mix of Matthew Liberatore has helped to fuel his electric spring.
Mar 20 2026 3:11am
Braxton Garrett enters 2026 as a premium injury profit play given his excellent pre-injury skills and early favorable ADP.
Mar 14 2026 3:06am
Drew Rasmussen's more good-than-great skills in 2025 suggest his sterling surface stats could be due for big corrections in 2026.
Mar 7 2026 3:09am

Tools