(*) STARTERS: Early Surprises

Many starting pitchers have fared better than expected in the early going.

Some of these surprises come with strong skill support. Others are flukes.

Identifying the flukes before their results regress can help you avoid bad stats.

Likewise, holding on to guys whose quick starts come with skill support can help you build your starting rotation for the long-haul.

Let's take a look at both groups.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Bruce Chen (LHP, KC) has a 2.52 ERA and 0.92 WHIP after 25 IP. It'd be easy to dismiss this as a small sample size fluke. But he has been a legit command artist so far: 6.1 Dom, 1.4 Ctl, 34% GB%, 83 BPV. We can't expect any more Dom than what he is showing now, given his 86.1 mph average fastball velocity. He's also...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Gavin Williams has become the game's best starting pitcher in the second half, among those with 30+ IP.
Aug 8 2026 3:07am
Payton Tolle's mediocre results in July hid an excellent foundation of skills, putting him in position to be a difference-maker down the stretch.
Aug 1 2026 3:05am
Sean Burke's recent stretch of elite skills has been backed by some significant underlying support.
Jul 25 2026 3:15am
Ian Seymour's recent skill surge and transition back to a starting role give him significant appeal again in deep leagues.
Jul 18 2026 3:07am
No starting pitcher has provided more value in wins and innings or shown a steeper groundball tilt than Cristopher Sanchez over the past 12 months.
Jul 11 2026 3:05am

Tools