STARTERS: Early buy low targets, 2019

Surface stats like ERA can be misleading, especially at this time of the year, as they can mask strong underlying skills that are likely to result in ERA improvement in the future.

The following SP have the largest gaps between their actual ERA and their skills-driven expected ERA (xERA):

• xERA vs. ERA - 2019 YTD*
  
  Name                   League  BPV  ERA    xERA  Diff
  =====================  ======  ===  =====  ====  =====
  Anderson, Tyler            NL   70  11.76  5.01  +6.75
  Burnes, Corbin             NL  152   8.10  3.65  +4.45
  Koch, Matt                 NL   38   9.15  5.80  +3.35
  Stratton, Chris            NL   26   8.39  5.55  +2.84
  Kingham, Nick              NL   53   7.84  5.10  +2.74
  Font, Wilmer               NL  100   7.08 ...

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