F/F SPOTLIGHT: Josh Bell

July 1, 2019.

The toast of the fantasy first half, Josh Bell (1B, PIT), all but cemented his 1H MVP award with a 3-HR, 7-RBI game against CHC the first night of July. Bell had a .308 BA with 25 HR on the season at the time—all from a 256 preseason Average Draft Position (ADP).

But since then? Try a .212/.328/.394 slash line with just 4 HR in 125 plate appearances, going from July 5 through August 10 without a home run. A simple look at Bell's rolling weighted on-base average (wOBA) this year shows the decline actually started around Memorial Day:

If we had written this column back in June, a typical Facts/Flukes analysis of Bell's breakout might have looked something like this:

Year     AB  HR    BA   xBA  bb%/ct%  GB/LD/FB  h%  HctX ...

Almost!

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