FACTS/FLUKES: Lodolo, McCutchen, Boxberger, L. García, B. Anderson

Lodolo off to a rough start … Nick Lodolo (LHP, CIN) entered 2023 as a popular breakout pick after compiling a 3.54 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 84 IP over his last 15 starts of 2022. However, he currently sits with a disappointing 6.29 ERA and 1.75 WHIP through his first 34 IP of 2023. What’s going on here?

Year   IP   ERA/xERA   BB%/K% xBB%  SwK  GB/LD/FB  H%/S%  HR/F   Vel
====  ===  =========  ======= ====  ===  ========  =====  ====  ====
2021^  52  2.79/2.82   6%/34%  N/A  N/A     N/A    35/76   N/A   N/A
2022  103  3.66/3.13   9%/30%   8%  13%  46/20/34  32/75   15%  94.2
2023   34  6.29/3.52   6%/28%   7%  14%  46/17/37  45/72   27%  93.3
^Double-A/Triple-A MLEs

It’s mostly bad luck:

  • He’s still racking up strikeouts at a nice clip,...

Almost!

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