Lodolo off to a rough start … Nick Lodolo (LHP, CIN) entered 2023 as a popular breakout pick after compiling a 3.54 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 84 IP over his last 15 starts of 2022. However, he currently sits with a disappointing 6.29 ERA and 1.75 WHIP through his first 34 IP of 2023. What’s going on here?
Year IP ERA/xERA BB%/K% xBB% SwK GB/LD/FB H%/S% HR/F Vel ==== === ========= ======= ==== === ======== ===== ==== ==== 2021^ 52 2.79/2.82 6%/34% N/A N/A N/A 35/76 N/A N/A 2022 103 3.66/3.13 9%/30% 8% 13% 46/20/34 32/75 15% 94.2 2023 34 6.29/3.52 6%/28% 7% 14% 46/17/37 45/72 27% 93.3 ^Double-A/Triple-A MLEs
It’s mostly bad luck:
Almost!
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