BATTERS: Prepare to Fail
Dec 14 2012
Sixty-four percent of the owners reading this article are going to botch their first round picks next year. It might sound harsh, but it's in black and white right there in your copy of the 2013 Baseball Forecaster. Since 2004, only thirty-six percent of players drafted in the first round (defined here as the first 15 picks) have managed to return first round value. There are lots of factors, but the main reason can be boiled down to this: Players drafted in the first round have very little room for profitability. Their draft position/price makes it critical that they reproduce or even outperform the terrific numbers they produced the previous season, which is a pretty high bar for success.
Much ink will be spilled this offseason...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Batters
Elly De La Cruz's good start to the season has been even better than it appears on the surface.
Apr 27 2026 3:15am
Apr 27 2026 3:15am
Chandler Simpson's hitting leadoff versus RHP, more Atlanta movement, and Rice getting run against LHP.
Apr 24 2026 3:05am
Apr 24 2026 3:05am
Nick Castellanos isn't showing any underlying signs that he can rebound from his slow start to the season.
Apr 20 2026 3:05am
Apr 20 2026 3:05am
Tyler Stephenson's modest early surface results are overshadowing some electric batted ball quality.
Apr 13 2026 3:06am
Apr 13 2026 3:06am
Drake Baldwin has entrenched himself in the second spot in the lineup, plus other hitters seeing a rise or decline in value based on the batting order.
Apr 10 2026 3:06am
Apr 10 2026 3:06am
