BATTERS: 2023 Gambles

This column will help you identify batters who might be overvalued heading into draft day. We'll do so by looking at batters whose 2022 returns were not backed by strong underlying skill support.

The batters near the top of this list had the worst skills in 2022 among those who earned at least $5 that season:

Let's take a closer look at a dozen bats who are likely to be overvalued in 2023.
 

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Jose Altuve (2B, HOU) continues to be viewed by the market as an elite hitter (35 ADP), and for good reason. He has proven ability to overachieve his underlying metrics. Still, Altuve's poor 85.9 mph EV in 2022 was the worst of his career and put him in the 6th percentile among qualified batters. That makes a decline to 20 HR a real...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

Chandler Simpson's hitting leadoff versus RHP, more Atlanta movement, and Rice getting run against LHP.
Apr 24 2026 3:05am
Nick Castellanos isn't showing any underlying signs that he can rebound from his slow start to the season.
Apr 20 2026 3:05am
Tyler Stephenson's modest early surface results are overshadowing some electric batted ball quality.
Apr 13 2026 3:06am
Drake Baldwin has entrenched himself in the second spot in the lineup, plus other hitters seeing a rise or decline in value based on the batting order.
Apr 10 2026 3:06am
Jordan Walker has been the game's exit velocity leader in the very early going, supported by a steep reduction in his chase rate.
Apr 6 2026 3:06am

Tools