MINORS: Using Batter Age to Find Potential Breakouts

Owen Caissie (OF, CHC)

In my last article, I took a look at how a batter’s age at a given level of the minor leagues correlates with major league outcomes (e.g., chance of reaching the majors, offensive value, playing time). The findings suggested that age had a fairly strong impact, with younger players having better outcomes across the board. I used these findings to identify some cutoffs to keep in mind and help guide decision-making for dynasty managers. The table below shows these cutoffs for both low, and high, risk ages.

 Level     Low-Risk Age   High-Risk Age
========  ==============  =============
Triple-A  21 and Younger   24 and Older 
Double-A  20 and Younger   24 and Older
High-A    19 and Younger   22 and Older
Single-A ...

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