Show of hands: How many fantasy owners have relied on a rookie starting pitcher this season? Has it worked out for you? If you pinned your hopes on Michael Fulmer, Steven Matz, Kenta Maeda or Jon Gray, your gamble is paying off. Each pitcher has performed like a veteran. However, if you went with Aaron Blair, José Berríos or Collin Rea, suffering through one lackluster performance after another may have scarred you off from rookie pitching for good. While projection services, such as the one offered by BaseballHQ.com within the Baseball Forecaster, are great tools to project veteran performance, no metric can project how a rookie pitcher responds to the challenge of battling the best hitters in the world for the first time.
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