SPECULATOR: Mulligans, part 1
Sep 13 2012
Over the last couple of years, it has become evident that there is fertile, exploitable ground in the area of rebound candidates. The concept of recency bias tells us that we overreact to performance swings; approaches like Xtreme Regression Drafting (XRD) seek to take advantage accordingly. In a successful implementation of an XRD approach, it is critically important to properly identify the right pool of target players.
This week and next, we'll get an early start on that exercise, as we take a look at some of 2012's biggest underperformers and identify those that we think deserve a "mulligan" on their 2012 disappointment. Put another way, these are the players who, a year from now, we expect to be saying things like "answered all...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
Applying lessons learned from George Springer's 2025 breakout to this year's player pool
Mar 4 2026 3:04am
Mar 4 2026 3:04am
This week's exercise is all about picking holes to help avoid early-round busts.
Feb 25 2026 3:10am
Feb 25 2026 3:10am
Sure, they struggled last year, but if we remove some recency bias, granting mulligans could be a lucrative exercise.
Feb 18 2026 3:06am
Feb 18 2026 3:06am
Our annual look at who changed their pitch mix the most in-season last year, and (most importantly) whether it worked.
Feb 11 2026 3:06am
Feb 11 2026 3:06am
Could Jakob Marsee lead the majors in plate appearances? We'll take our component playing time metrics for a spin to see who could bubble up.
Feb 4 2026 8:30am
Feb 4 2026 8:30am
