SPECULATOR: Forget playing time (for now)

Welcome back to the Speculator! Excited to kick off its 2023 season (my sixth on the beat; time flies) with a bevy of topics that help home in on those 20% plays every Wednesday. This week, we'll throw up our hands at the almost unprojectable: playing time.

Veteran readers of the Baseball Forecaster already know that projecting players with any sort of accuracy is hard—a 70% accuracy rate is about the best we can do—but projecting playing time at this point in the offseason? Even harder. We admit as much in a disclaimer on our Stats and Projections page. From our section on "How the Projections are Created":

The more difficult part of the process is assessing playing time (PT). PT expectations are fluid, changing constantly based on...

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