It's still too early, but the temptation is growing.
We're itching to (over-)react to what’s happened over the first three weeks of the season. Exercising excruciating patience—a staple mantra here over the years—is the prudent thing to do. But we're often forced to act on small samples at this point in the year, so if you must scratch that itch, the Speculator is the space for you.
Our disclaimer at the bottom of this page means we aren’t constrained by issues like the legitimacy of underlying sample sizes. Of course, we can’t completely disregard our numbers-based approach, but we do have some more leeway as we project ahead, especially when the early returns align with preseason outlooks or changes in approach, pitch mix, etc.
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