Recency Bias Rebounds, 2024

We say it every year, but the market focuses wayyy too much on last season. 

Putting stock in a player's most recent performance to guide your decisions—often referred to as recency bias—is a natural tendency. Resist the urge. Our marketplace tends to be littered with recency bias, as last year's breakouts are often fully priced, last year's duds are discounted, and previous track records are forgotten.

So this week, we're granting mulligans for certain 2023 performances. Perhaps the players we're about to list played through a hidden injury, tried a new approach that didn't work, or just simply had a bad year (it happens). To help build our list, we'll compare Average Draft Positions (ADPs) from 2023 to 2024 as follows:

  • Hitters with...

Almost!

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