RESEARCH: What can foul balls tell us?

Across various eras of baseball research, most analysis has been done on either balls in play, or balls and strikes. Foul balls, because of their relatively meager direct influence on in-game outcomes, have been examined less often. Here, we look first at whether certain hitters and pitchers hit or allow foul balls at varying frequencies, and what other characteristics these hitters and pitchers might have.

Approach and Methodology

Data were obtained from FanGraphs and Statcast. For each player since 2008, every set of consecutive seasons with either 500 pitches seen or 500 pitches thrown was identified. From there, foul ball percentages were calculated, as well as and correlations between consecutive years, and between other...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Research

The pitching landscape has shifted yet again, and our Pure Quality Start metric undergoes a minor shift to level-set the results.
Nov 28 2023 1:01am
With the new pitch clock we examine who the clock may impact and how the clock may or may not impact pitcher performance.
Feb 23 2023 1:05am
Several years have passed since the original article. It's time for an update and a look at the initial 2021 list.
Jun 17 2021 12:04am
The elite rate at which Dansby Swanson produced 95+ mph exit velocity in 2019 suggests that he's an overlooked breakout target.
Jun 15 2020 1:05am
Nick Pivetta gave up less very hard contact in 2019 than you might think. Could it be a precursor to a rebound season?
Jun 9 2020 1:05am

Tools