RESEARCH: Using history to identify 2H SB targets

Introduction

SBs are a very challenging category to manage, because a smaller number of players contribute a larger percentage of SB than in other hitting counting stats.

Here’s a chart comparing the number of players contributing 10%  and 25% of homers and SB from 2011-2013:

          10%               25%
     ’11  ’12  ’13     ’11  ’12  ’13
====================================
HR    36   38   41      91   96  102
SB    22   23   18      61   63   52

The actual numbers, and the possibility that SBs are getting even more concentrated, are interesting in and of themselves. But for now, let’s focus on noting the top SB contributors have a greater effect on the SB category than the top power hitters do on HR.

Another way to look at it is...

More From Research