Jan 26 2017 12:04am
RESEARCH: Indicators, starting points, and bi-linear correlations, part 2: Pitchers
Jan 26 2017
Leading indicators are valuable for their relative stability in the face of luck and context-dependent variation in outcomes. Sustained changes in indictors suggest changes in performance will follow, because of the correlation between these indicators and performance. However, it stands to reason that the same relative change in performance could have a different effect on performance, depending on the starting performance level.
Last month, we found that a few leading indicators showed a bi-linear relationship with hitter performance. This month, we’ll take a look at pitchers.
Approach and Methodology
This analysis was performed using yearly statistics from FanGraphs from 2006-2016 for each season in which a pitcher threw more than...
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