RESEARCH: Impact of pitchers’ Hit Rate (H%) on scoring stats

We are always looking for an advantage as we prepare for our drafts. BaseballHQ.com counsels us to focus on underlying skills, not on surface stats. We also recognize that some stats used in fantasy league scoring are influenced by luck. Examples include ERA and wins for pitchers. Therefore, we look at stats such as xERA, Dom, and Cmd to better gauge underlying skills, which will normally translate to better scoring stats in the long run.

Tried and true approaches

In season, we often look for players whose scoring stats are out of line with their underlying skills as measured by fanalytic stats. For example, a pitcher with a documented history of a Dom rate above 5.6 and a Cmd rate over 2.0, but with an abnormally high...

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