RESEARCH: Examining the 2013 SB Decline 1: A League-Wide View

Like any other counting stat, the market value of stolen bases, and their intrinsic value to your squad, depends on the expected number of SB in the player inventory (as well as your strategy and team construct).

The trouble is, it’s been very hard to predict just how big that SB inventory will be from year to year.

In 2011 and 2012, SB spiked to their highest totals since the turn of the century, from under 3,000 in 2009-10 to over 3,200 in both 2011 and 2012. In response, heading into 2013 many leading fantasy experts advised that drafters should focus on power early, because snagging SB would easy later on in drafts.

But something funny happened on the way to second base this past season: SB dropped, all the way below 2,700, to a...

Almost!

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