Gaming
Cell phones don’t cause cancer. There is no Verducci Effect. Nostradamus didn’t predict anything. And players don’t play harder or better in contract-year seasons. All of these theses are examples of the Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy. Here we examine two examples that run rampant in fantasy baseball circles, and one surprising example that may hit a little close to home for the fantasy baseball player.
Mar 26 2012 11:01pm
Mar 26 2012 11:01pm
The ideal pitching points strategy is to nab high Dom starting pitchers with a winning team. You need the strikeouts as the reliable points with the wins to push up his point totals. Since wins remain difficult to project, and pitchers tend to injure more often than hitters, the most effective strategy may involve saving most starting pitchers for the end of the draft.
Mar 25 2012 11:01pm
Mar 25 2012 11:01pm
Embrace the crazy in your draft-and-hold league. Here's a non-boring, pedal-to-the-floor alternative to the traditional approach to drafting—a method that embraces the crazy person waiting inside most (if not all) of us. It's certainly fun, and you just may win something.
Mar 22 2012 1:01am
Mar 22 2012 1:01am
In part two of a two-part series, veteran CDM players Gene McCaffrey and Josh Paley share their thoughts on composing their teams.
Mar 21 2012 12:01am
Mar 21 2012 12:01am
In part one of a two-part series, veteran CDM players Gene McCaffrey and Josh Paley provide sample rosters and share their thoughts on composing their teams.
Mar 20 2012 12:01am
Mar 20 2012 12:01am
Looking at Reliability measures to help with roster composition in Draft and Hold leagues can be particularly instructive because of the permanence of the initial draft. For strategic owners, Reliability grades can be used through the early rounds to help secure predictable roster anchors and in the mid to later rounds, it can help filter amongst the remaining players.
Mar 19 2012 12:01am
Mar 19 2012 12:01am
Right out of the starting gate, draft and hold leagues, such as the 50-round draft/no pickups format offered through the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC), present some interesting strategic choices. Because draft and hold leagues do not allow for in-season transactions, such as add/drops or trades, getting off on the right foot is essential.
Mar 16 2012 12:01am
Mar 16 2012 12:01am
Ryan Braun for $85? Why not? In keeper leagues with gross disparities, it makes sense for rebuilders.
Mar 14 2012 1:00am
Mar 14 2012 1:00am
Experiments have shown that simple computer algorithms will make better predictions than the best experts in almost every field. So what does this mean for fantasy baseball players, and how do we use this information?
Mar 12 2012 11:01pm
Mar 12 2012 11:01pm
NFBC-style draft and hold leagues are becoming more popular, but they require more than just the basic strategy. And it's more than just the fact that the draft goes 750 players deep.
Mar 11 2012 11:01pm
Mar 11 2012 11:01pm
For those new to this annual exercise, our Straight Draft Guide is our attempt to coalesce the wealth of tools and analysis offered here at BaseballHQ.com into a coherent approach to your straight draft.
Mar 9 2012 12:01am
Mar 9 2012 12:01am
Cell phones don’t cause cancer. There is no Verducci Effect. Nostradamus didn’t predict anything. And players don’t play harder or better in contract-year seasons. All of these theses are examples of the Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy. Here we examine two examples that run rampant in fantasy baseball circles, and one surprising example that may hit a little close to home for the fantasy baseball player.
Mar 26 2012 11:01pm
Mar 26 2012 11:01pm
The ideal pitching points strategy is to nab high Dom starting pitchers with a winning team. You need the strikeouts as the reliable points with the wins to push up his point totals. Since wins remain difficult to project, and pitchers tend to injure more often than hitters, the most effective strategy may involve saving most starting pitchers for the end of the draft.
Mar 25 2012 11:01pm
Mar 25 2012 11:01pm
Embrace the crazy in your draft-and-hold league. Here's a non-boring, pedal-to-the-floor alternative to the traditional approach to drafting—a method that embraces the crazy person waiting inside most (if not all) of us. It's certainly fun, and you just may win something.
Mar 22 2012 1:01am
Mar 22 2012 1:01am
In part two of a two-part series, veteran CDM players Gene McCaffrey and Josh Paley share their thoughts on composing their teams.
Mar 21 2012 12:01am
Mar 21 2012 12:01am
In part one of a two-part series, veteran CDM players Gene McCaffrey and Josh Paley provide sample rosters and share their thoughts on composing their teams.
Mar 20 2012 12:01am
Mar 20 2012 12:01am
Looking at Reliability measures to help with roster composition in Draft and Hold leagues can be particularly instructive because of the permanence of the initial draft. For strategic owners, Reliability grades can be used through the early rounds to help secure predictable roster anchors and in the mid to later rounds, it can help filter amongst the remaining players.
Mar 19 2012 12:01am
Mar 19 2012 12:01am
Right out of the starting gate, draft and hold leagues, such as the 50-round draft/no pickups format offered through the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC), present some interesting strategic choices. Because draft and hold leagues do not allow for in-season transactions, such as add/drops or trades, getting off on the right foot is essential.
Mar 16 2012 12:01am
Mar 16 2012 12:01am
Ryan Braun for $85? Why not? In keeper leagues with gross disparities, it makes sense for rebuilders.
Mar 14 2012 1:00am
Mar 14 2012 1:00am
Experiments have shown that simple computer algorithms will make better predictions than the best experts in almost every field. So what does this mean for fantasy baseball players, and how do we use this information?
Mar 12 2012 11:01pm
Mar 12 2012 11:01pm
NFBC-style draft and hold leagues are becoming more popular, but they require more than just the basic strategy. And it's more than just the fact that the draft goes 750 players deep.
Mar 11 2012 11:01pm
Mar 11 2012 11:01pm
For those new to this annual exercise, our Straight Draft Guide is our attempt to coalesce the wealth of tools and analysis offered here at BaseballHQ.com into a coherent approach to your straight draft.
Mar 9 2012 12:01am
Mar 9 2012 12:01am
