The Mayberry Method 1: Evolution

We've spent many years here showing you the value of learning to fish. Why suddenly the need to whistle?

I devoted several columns late last summer as well as the entire Introduction in this year's Baseball Forecaster to build a case that shows how statistical projections are nearly pointless. It may seem odd that an information source dedicated to providing a look into the future would present such a possibility. But the evidence is tough to ignore.

Here is a significantly abridged recap. Note that the unabridged version appears in the book, includes all the support data and is well worth the read (hint, hint).

Facts

1. With the current tools available to us, the maximum projective accuracy we can hope to attain is 70%. That...

More From Archives