FANALYTICS: One Month—Bringing it home, part 2

I have been playing in a monthly game since last summer. One of the more fascinating aspects of participating in this league is following how the perception of player value changes over time.

At the beginning of the season, the draft results looked pretty much like most other drafts. But when given the opportunity to do it over again at the beginning of each subsequent month, the results changed radically. Current performance naturally took on a larger role as the season progressed but I was astounded how high the sensitivity was to change.

Hot hands were elevated very quickly. Sometimes that worked out; sometimes not. In retrospect, when you only have to project performance over the upcoming four weeks, maybe the hot-hand mindset...

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