STARTERS: Early sell-high targets 2016

After our early-season focus on buying opportunities, let's take a look at some guys who are overperforming their base skills.

First, these SP have the largest ERA vs. expected ERA (xERA) variances, meaning their shiny surface stats haven't been accompanied with much skill support:

  • ERA vs. xERA*
    
    Name                 League  ERA   xERA  Diff
    ===================  ======  ====  ====  =====
    Zimmermann, Jordan       NL  1.10  4.15  +3.05
    Wright, Steven           AL  1.52  3.65  +2.13
    Hammel, Jason            NL  1.85  3.96  +2.11
    Latos, Mat               AL  2.62  4.58  +1.96
    Quintana, Jose           AL  1.38  3.21  +1.83
    Hernandez, Felix         AL  2.27  4.08  +1.81
    Arrieta, Jake            NL  1.13  2.92  +1.79
    Gonzalez, Gio          ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

The magical rookie season of Paul Skenes peaked last September, when he was the most skilled starting pitcher in the game.
Jan 16 2025 3:02am
Brandon Pfaadt's huge underlying gains in 2024 make him a premium breakout target heading into 2025.
Sep 7 2024 3:09am
Emerging rookie Spencer Schwellenbach was the game's most skilled starting pitcher during August behind a combination of groundballs and whiffs.
Aug 31 2024 3:09am
Brayan Bello's crumbling command against lefty bats is preventing him from taking a sustained step forward.
Aug 24 2024 3:09am
The recent struggles of Cristopher Sánchez can be traced back to his road starts, where both his stats and skills go from great to bad.
Aug 17 2024 3:09am

Tools