STARTERS: Early sell-high targets, 2015

After our early-season focus on buying opportunities, let's take a look at some guys who are overperforming their base skills.

These SP have the largest ERA vs. expected ERA (xERA) variances, meaning their sexy surface stats haven't been accompanied with full skill support:

  • ERA vs. xERA*
    
    Name                 League  ERA   xERA  Diff
    ===================  ======  ====  ====  =====
    Martinez, Nick           AL  1.88  4.34  -2.46
    Harang, Aaron            NL  2.03  3.94  -1.91
    Santiago, Hector         AL  2.41  4.29  -1.88
    Gibson, Kyle             AL  2.70  4.57  -1.87
    Greinke, Zack            NL  1.52  3.34  -1.82
    Wacha, Michael           NL  2.06  3.88  -1.82
    Miller, Shelby           NL  1.60  3.38  -1.78
    Chen, Wei-Yin            AL ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Sean Manaea's ugly August ERA hid an impressive foundation of skills that could lead him to a much better showing in September.
Aug 30 2025 3:09am
Shane Baz's volatility can be traced back to some significant struggles against lefty bats.
Aug 23 2025 3:09am
Andrew Abbott's shiny surface stats are hiding a shaky foundation of skills when he pitches at home.
Aug 16 2025 3:09am
Cristopher Sanchez's elite second half results have been driven by similarly elite underlying skills.
Aug 9 2025 3:09am
Chase Burns had the filthiest stuff of any starting pitcher in the game in July.
Aug 2 2025 3:07am

Tools