STARTERS: BPV none on/runners on, 2019

Our original research in 2013 confirmed that there are significant skill differences among pitchers when throwing with the bases empty compared to with runners on base.

This trend continues to hold true. Pitchers have produced a near-100 BPV in each of the last five seasons with the bases empty, compared to a mediocre sub-70 BPV when pitching with runners on base.

We can visualize this impact by comparing the skills of pitchers in those two situations over the last seven seasons with the average overall skills posted by starting pitchers during the same period:

Here is an updated analysis with stats and skills for the none on/runners on split over the last seven seasons:

  • None On Stats & Skills: 2013 to 2019 YTD*
    
    Year  League  ERA  ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

The underlying command gains of Cade Povich in the second half bode well for his ability to take a step forward in 2026.
Sep 6 2025 3:10am
Sean Manaea's ugly August ERA hid an impressive foundation of skills that could lead him to a much better showing in September.
Aug 30 2025 3:09am
Shane Baz's volatility can be traced back to some significant struggles against lefty bats.
Aug 23 2025 3:09am
Andrew Abbott's shiny surface stats are hiding a shaky foundation of skills when he pitches at home.
Aug 16 2025 3:09am
Cristopher Sanchez's elite second half results have been driven by similarly elite underlying skills.
Aug 9 2025 3:09am

Tools