STARTERS: 2021 Gambles

Most starting pitchers can be considered gambles in one form or another. Some are gambles worth taking. Others should be avoided.

Here, we will discuss gambles to avoid and define them as SP who are likely to be significantly overvalued on draft day.

This doesn't mean you should avoid targeting all of the guys listed here, but it does mean that you should think twice before bidding full value on them.

Let's identify these risky SP for 2021 by looking at those who earned at least $5 in 2020 but had below average skills:

  • <100 BPV, 5x5 $5+, 2020*
    
    Name                 Lg  5x5 $  BPV
    ===================  ==  =====  ===
    Peterson, David      NL    $12   35
    Hill, Rich           AL     $5   42
    Turnbull, Spencer    AL     $6   49
    Fiers, Mike          AL     $5  ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Jack Flaherty's inconsistency can be traced to some deep struggles after he goes through a lineup once during a game.
Jun 28 2025 3:05am
Bryce Elder's marginal overall skills are hiding some impactful components when he pitches with the bases empty.
Jun 21 2025 3:10am
Max Meyer has looked like two different pitchers during his home and road starts.
Jun 14 2025 3:05am
Sandy Alcantara's rough post-injury stats have been driven by some deep struggles against lefty bats.
Jun 7 2025 3:05am
Ben Brown's ugly surface stats in May hid some excellent underlying skills.
May 31 2025 3:09am

Tools