Gambles, 2025

Most starting pitchers can be considered gambles in one form or another. Some are gambles worth taking. Others should be avoided.

Here, we will discuss gambles to avoid and define them as SP who are likely to be significantly overvalued on draft day.

This doesn't mean you should avoid targeting all of the guys listed here, but it does mean that you should think twice before bidding full value on them.

Here is a closer look at 10 starting pitchers whose downside should make you pause on draft day.
 

AMERICAN LEAGUE

José Berríos (RHP, TOR) had a really good season in 2024, at least on the surface (3.60 ERA, 1.15 WHIP in 192 IP). That said, things weren't as rosy one level lower: 20% K%, 7% BB%, 13% K-BB%, 43% GB%, 82 BPV. His very low 9.0%...

Almost!

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