Early buy low targets, 2024

Surface stats like ERA can be misleading, especially at this time of the year, as they can mask strong underlying skills that are likely to result in ERA improvement in the future.

These have been the most skilled starting pitchers among those with a 4.00+ ERA:

NameLgTmIP K%BB%K-BB%GB%SwK%FpK%Ball%BPV
Garrett CrochetALCHW51 34%6%28%45%14.0%65%34%186 
Cole RagansALKC49 27%8%20%44%14.5%63%35%131 
Brandon PfaadtNLARI54 23%5%18%40%10.7%74%33%126 
Kevin GausmanALTOR36 23%6%17%43%10.7%65%34%119 
Aaron CivaleALTAM46 25%6%19%32%9.6%67%35%118 
Jordan WicksNLCHC23 26%8%18%38%13.9%63%36%118 
Chris PaddackALMIN42 21%5%16%40%11.4%64%35%118 
Andrew HeaneyALTEX41 23%5%17%35%12.0%65%33%114 
Reid DetmersALLAA50 26%9%18%41%13.9%62%33%112 
Nestor...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Ben Brown's ugly surface stats in May hid some excellent underlying skills.
May 31 2025 3:09am
Jesús Luzardo's early elite surface stats have been fueled by significant gains in his underlying skills.
May 24 2025 3:05am
Ben Brown's mediocre surface stats are hiding some intriguing skills.
May 17 2025 3:05am
The improved velocity and history of pinpoint control shown by Zebby Matthews makes him an ideal early stash in deep leagues.
May 10 2025 3:07am
Joe Ryan's rotation-anchor stats in April were backed by an elite collection of skills.
May 3 2025 3:06am

Tools