Fried, L. Robert, Mahle, L. Butler, Ober

Fried is thriving in his first season with the Yankees ... Max Fried (LHP, NYY) has a 1.05 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 22% K%, and 5% BB% in 51 innings. He's always given us high-end earned value, but he is taking it to another level in 2025. Is it legitimate?

SeasonIPERA/xERAWHIPH%/S%GB%/FB%BB%K%SwK%HR/FBPX
2021165.23.04/3.491.0930%/75%50%/27%6%24%11.6%12%139
2022185.12.48/3.211.0130%/78%50%/29%4%23%12.7%8%158
202377.22.55/3.131.1333%/81%57%/25%6%26%11.9%13%171
2024174.13.25/3.241.1630%/74%58%/23%8%23%10.6%12%127
202551.21.05/3.420.9125%/93%51%/35%5%23%9.9%6%166

Expect regression, but Fried's skills remain legitimate:

  • Fried's xERA aligns with the career xERA (3.25), suggesting the results should regress with luck factors in his favor (H%, S%, and HR/F)....

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

Is Kerry Carpenter legitimate? We'll examine the skills, luck factors, and other metrics for him, Brayan Bello, Steven Kwan, Chris Paddack, and Jake Meyers
Jun 12 2025 3:05am
Michael Harris II starts slowly. Also: David Peterson, Willy Adames, Jason Adam, and Willson Contreras
Jun 10 2025 3:06am
Cody Bellinger is having his best season since 2019. Zach Eflin is back from the IL. Does Charlie Morton have anything left? And updates on Drew Waters and Miguel Vargas.
Jun 9 2025 3:07am
Let's examine Lars Nootbaar's skills at a deeper level to find any notable changes beyond the common underlying metrics.
Jun 6 2025 3:06am
How legitimate is Tarik Skubal? Let's examine the skills and underlying metrics for Zach Neto, Luis Castillo, Maikel Garcia, and Patrick Corbin.
Jun 5 2025 3:09am

Tools