FACTS/FLUKES: Ray, Santana, Ziegler, Cozart, Renfroe

Fortunate H%/S% masks Ctl issues … The 2017 Baseball Forecaster gave Robbie Ray (LHP, ARI) an “UP: 3.25 ERA” and here he sits with a sparkling 2.80 ERA in 138 IP. Has Ray truly arrived as a legit frontline starter?

Year   IP   ERA  xERA  Ctl   Dom  Cmd  FpK  SwK  Ball%  GB/LD/FB  H%/S%  hr/f  BPV
====  ===  ====  ====  ===  ====  ===  ===  ===  =====  ========  =====  ====  ===
2014* 129  5.85  5.78  4.0   5.5  1.4  54%   6%  38.0%  35/24/41  35/66   12%   30
2015* 169  3.55  3.86  3.9   8.8  2.3  61%   9%  36.7%  43/22/35  34/75    7%   88
2016  174  4.90  3.62  3.7  11.3  3.1  56%  12%  35.9%  46/22/33  37/69   15%  128
2017  138  2.80  3.55  4.0  12.0  3.0  60%  14%  37.5%  37/21/42  28/82   14%  122
*Includes MLEs

No, but these...

Almost!

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