FACTS/FLUKES: Nola, J. Abreu, Mountcastle, Soler, Kopech

Nola bounces back thanks to stellar skills... After Aaron Nola (RHP, PHI) posted the second-worst ERA of his career in 2021, his skills suggested that the poor performance was mostly bad luck, and that he was likely to rebound in 2022. And he did, posting the second-best ERA of his career on his way to $20 in rotisserie value. Do his skills suggest he's good for a repeat?

Year   IP   ERA  xERA  BB%   K% K-BB% xBB%    SwK  GB/LD/FB  H%/S% HR/F xHR/F 
====  ===  ====  ====  ===  === ===== ====  =====  ========  ===== ==== ===== 
2018  212  2.37  3.17   7%  27%   20%   6%  12.9%  51/19/30  26/79  11%   11%
2019  202  3.87  3.79   9%  27%   17%   7%  11.5%  50/21/30  30/74  17%   17%
2020   71  3.28  2.97   8%  33%   25%   6%  14.1% ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

It's been an injury-riddled season for Jeremy Peña, but the skills look pretty good. Plus Carlos Rodón, Heliot Ramos, Cal Quantrill, and Liam Hicks
Sep 3 2026 3:06am
Ronald Acuña Jr. has had another injury plagued season. How are the skills holding up? Plus, Trevor Megill, Max Muncy, Christian Yelich, and Casey Mize.
Sep 2 2026 3:05am
Sal Stewart is the top candidate for NL ROY. Also: Chase Burns, Austin Riley, Mason Montgomery, Gabriel Moreno.
Sep 1 2026 3:06am
Abrams has gotten off to great starts over the last couple of years, only to see them undone by dreadful second halves. Will this year be different? Also, we'll check up on Kyle Harrison, Manny Machado, Michael King, and JJ Bleday.
Aug 27 2026 3:05am
After blasting 29 HR per season in 2024-25, Matt Olson has ramped up the power in 2026. How are the skills? Plus, Raisel Iglesias, Mickey Moniak, Brandon Marsh, and Kyle Leahy.
Aug 26 2026 3:06am

Tools