FACTS/FLUKES: Guerrero Jr, Kopech, Moncada, McKenzie, M. Chapman

Guerrero Jr. taking the next step?... Given a rare "10C" rating in 2019, former number-one prospect Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B, TOR) hasn't failed since making his MLB debut in 2019, but his .269/.336/.442 line with 24 HR over 757 PA coming into 2021 has fallen short of the lofty expectations that were tied to him coming out of MiLB. Still a Top 50 pick per NFBC, Guerrero Jr. has delivered 8 HR in 146 PA with a .322 BA and a 17% BB%. Has Guerrero Jr. finally turned the corner, or is this just a terrific small sample?

Year  PA   BA/xBA   HR/xHR bb% ct% h%  HctX GB/LD/FB hr/f Brl%  EV  PX/xPX 
====  === ========= ====== === === === ==== ======== ==== ==== ==== =======
2018^ 378 .383/N/A  19/N/A  9% 89% 39%  N/A   N/A     N/A  N/A  N/A...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

Will Smith offers stable production at catcher. Also, dives into Nick Pivetta, Ezequiel Tovar, Pete Fairbanks and Mickey Moniak.
Mar 3 2026 3:10am
Ben Rice is coming off a big year and is a high upside option at catcher in 2025. Plus, Wilyer Abreu, Nolan Schanuel, Logan Gilbert, and Jack Leiter.
Mar 2 2026 3:08am
Junior Caminero broke out with 45 HR in 2025—what might he do for an encore? Plus, Bryan Woo, Agustín Ramírez, Ben Brown, and Christian Moore.
Mar 1 2026 3:05am
Maikel Garcia leveled up his game last season; can he reach an even higher level in 2026? We'll also dive into outlooks for Framber Valdez, Adley Rutschman, Jonathan Aranda, and Kenley Jansen.
Feb 27 2026 3:07am
James Wood finished 2025 with 31 HR and 15 SB, but struggled mightily in the second half. What can we expect in 2026? Plus, Brenton Doyle, Andrew Abbott, Gabriel Moreno, and Braxton Garrett.
FREE
Feb 25 2026 3:03am

Tools