FACTS/FLUKES: Guerrero Jr, Kopech, Moncada, McKenzie, M. Chapman

Guerrero Jr. taking the next step?... Given a rare "10C" rating in 2019, former number-one prospect Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B, TOR) hasn't failed since making his MLB debut in 2019, but his .269/.336/.442 line with 24 HR over 757 PA coming into 2021 has fallen short of the lofty expectations that were tied to him coming out of MiLB. Still a Top 50 pick per NFBC, Guerrero Jr. has delivered 8 HR in 146 PA with a .322 BA and a 17% BB%. Has Guerrero Jr. finally turned the corner, or is this just a terrific small sample?

Year  PA   BA/xBA   HR/xHR bb% ct% h%  HctX GB/LD/FB hr/f Brl%  EV  PX/xPX 
====  === ========= ====== === === === ==== ======== ==== ==== ==== =======
2018^ 378 .383/N/A  19/N/A  9% 89% 39%  N/A   N/A     N/A  N/A  N/A...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is performing well, but why? We examined the skills and underlying metrics for Chisholm, Luis Gil, Daulton Varsho, Dean Kremer, and Julio Rodríguez.
Sep 4 2025 3:05am
Elly De La Cruz offers five-category contributions. Also: Freddy Peralta, Ramón Laureano, Zac Gallen, and Spencer Horwitz.
Sep 2 2025 3:06am
Can Carlos Rodón sustain his success? We'll also be examining the skills and luck factors for Royce Lewis, Reid Detmers, Nathaniel Lowe, and Devin Williams.
Aug 28 2025 3:06am
Trea Turner's skills are consistent. Also: Spencer Strider, Andrew Vaughn, Mason Miller, and Xavier Edwards.
Aug 26 2025 3:09am
Logan Gilbert hasn't been as much of a workhorse in 2025. Plus a look at the skills of Bailey Ober, Lenyn Sosa, Kerry Carpenter, and Ernie Clement.
Aug 25 2025 3:06am

Tools