Alonso, Gallen, J.D. Martinez, Kopech, Bart

Alonso pacing toward career-low HR … Pete Alonso (1B, NYM) slugged 40 HR in 2022 and 46 HR in 2023, so it’s a little odd to see him with 27 HR as we near the end of August. How are things under the hood?

YearPAHR/xHRBA/xBAbb%/ct%GB/LD/FBh%HctXPX/xPXHR/FBrl%
202163737/38.262/.2699/7739/18/4328120138/12920%15%
202268540/36.271/.27410/7936/20/4428116143/11217%12%
202365846/46.217/.26510/7337/16/4821104158/13523%15%
202455627/ --.245/.25510/7342/16/4227101141/10817%12%

This is still a strong collection of skills, but there has been a notable change:

  • A comically low h% dragged down his 2023 BA. Positive h% regression has his BA back to a respectable level and xBA hints at a little additional upside.
  • The combination of career-high GB% and...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

Is Alex Bregman undervalued with the new team? We'll examine the skills and metrics for Bregman, Kevin Gausman, Jonathan India, Luis Severino, and J.J. Bleday.
Mar 13 2025 3:10am
Could Corbin Burnes be overvalued in fantasy leagues? Plus, Willson Contreras, Lars Nootbaar, Max Kepler, and Dennis Santana.
Mar 12 2025 3:10am
Jackson Chourio broke out in the second half. Can he sustain his success? Plus Jason Adam, Brandon Nimmo, Jeremiah Estrada, and Michael Conforto.
Mar 11 2025 3:10am
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. returns to .300-30. Can he keep it up? Plus Reese Olson, Ryan Jeffers, Yusei Kikuchi and Yainer Diaz.
Mar 10 2025 3:07am
Framber Valdez put up a 2.08 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in the second half of 2024—can he turn that into full-season upside?
Mar 9 2025 3:09am

Tools