SPECULATOR: Snap judgments—batters
Apr 20 2015
Two weeks of games isn't nearly enough time to draw any conclusions about 2015. Nelson Cruz isn't going to hit 104 HRs, even though that's what you get if you extrapolate his 4 HR/week pace over the full season.
Here at BaseballHQ.com, we usually want to see four weeks of action before we start looking at changes in skills metrics. Different skills normalize at different rates, of course, but four weeks is a decent "don't even look to draw conclusions until then" yardstick. Even at that point, it's still dicey.
Essentially, we're only halfway to the point at which we can draw shaky conclusions using in-season data. But, here at The Speculator, where we have a handy disclaimer at the bottom of the page that gives us the cover to be wrong...
Almost!
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